Water Systems Control: from Ensemble Forecasts to Network Topology Optimization

17 aprile 2025 | 11:45
Sala Conferenze Emilio Gatti
Edificio 20
Sala Conferenze Emilio Gatti
Edificio 20
Speaker: Davide Spinelli (Politecnico di Milano)
Contatti: Prof. Simone Formentin | simone.formentin@polimi.it
Contatti: Prof. Simone Formentin | simone.formentin@polimi.it
Sommario
Climate change intensifies extreme weather events, stressing water resources and demanding optimal reservoir management for competing needs.
Exploring advanced forecast-based control strategies, Lake Como serves as a multi-objective case study.
First, this seminar details a novel algorithm using probabilistic ensemble forecasts to improve decision-making, validated by blocked k-fold cross-validation.
Second, it couples neuro-evolution deep reinforcement learning with time-varying sensitivity analysis to optimize network topologies and evaluate the importance of each forecast across the year and across different compromise solutions.
Exploring advanced forecast-based control strategies, Lake Como serves as a multi-objective case study.
First, this seminar details a novel algorithm using probabilistic ensemble forecasts to improve decision-making, validated by blocked k-fold cross-validation.
Second, it couples neuro-evolution deep reinforcement learning with time-varying sensitivity analysis to optimize network topologies and evaluate the importance of each forecast across the year and across different compromise solutions.